AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Jul 20, 2025

Newport City

Home
VS
13:30

Baglan Dragons

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Newport City Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Baglan Dragons Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.78
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Baglan Dragons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 0-1 (26%) 0-2 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Newport City Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Newport C… vs Goytre Un… 0-3
Apr 04 Newport C… vs Cwmbran C… 2-0
Mar 28 Newport C… vs Llantwit … 2-1
Feb 08 Newport C… vs Cambrian … 1-1
Jan 10 Newport C… vs Pontyprid… 0-2
Jan 03 Newport C… vs Trethomas… 1-2
Dec 28 Newport C… vs Cwmbran C… 0-1
Dec 20 Newport C… vs Caerau (E… 3-1
Nov 01 Newport C… vs Trethomas… 2-1
Sep 27 Newport C… vs Pontyprid… 0-1
Baglan Dragons Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Baglan Dr… vs Ammanford… 1-1
Apr 05 Baglan Dr… vs Caernarfo… 1-1
Mar 29 Baglan Dr… vs Cwmbran C… 0-2
Mar 08 Baglan Dr… vs Llantwit … 0-1
Mar 01 Baglan Dr… vs Trethomas… 2-0
Feb 08 Baglan Dr… vs Afan Lido 1-1
Dec 26 Baglan Dr… vs Trefelin 1-2
Nov 30 Baglan Dr… vs Llantwit … 0-0
Nov 22 Baglan Dr… vs Trethomas… 0-1
Oct 04 Baglan Dr… vs Afan Lido 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newport City in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Baglan Dragons in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Newport City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newport City Power 0
Baglan Dragons Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.