AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 27, 2025

Coleraine FC

Home
VS
14:00

Carrick Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Coleraine FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Carrick Rangers Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.53 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Coleraine FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Carrick Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Coleraine FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 1-2
Sep 13 Coleraine… vs Portadown 1-4
Sep 06 Coleraine… vs Crusaders… 0-4
Aug 23 Coleraine… vs Glentoran 1-2
Aug 19 Coleraine… vs Dungannon… 2-0
Aug 16 Coleraine… vs Cliftonvi… 0-0
Aug 10 Coleraine… vs Larne 1-0
May 11 Coleraine… vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
May 07 Coleraine… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Apr 26 Coleraine… vs Linfield 1-0
Carrick Rangers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Carrick R… vs Larne 2-0
Sep 06 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 1-2
Aug 30 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 1-1
Aug 23 Carrick R… vs Dungannon… 0-2
Aug 16 Carrick R… vs Glentoran 1-0
Aug 09 Carrick R… vs Crusaders… 3-4
Apr 12 Carrick R… vs Ballymena… 1-1
Apr 05 Carrick R… vs Portadown 4-1
Apr 01 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 1-3
Mar 22 Carrick R… vs Cliftonvi… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coleraine FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2025 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Oct 12, 2024 Carrick Rangers 2 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 Coleraine FC 3 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Jan 20, 2024 Coleraine FC 0 - 2 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 25, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Aug 15, 2023 Carrick Rangers 2 - 0 Coleraine FC Premiership
Jan 24, 2023 Coleraine FC 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers Premiership
Nov 05, 2022 Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 Coleraine FC Premiership
Aug 23, 2022 Carrick Rangers 2 - 4 Coleraine FC Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Coleraine FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Coleraine FC Power 0
Carrick Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Coleraine FC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Carrick Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.