AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 13, 2025

Larne

Home
VS
14:00

Glentoran

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Larne Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Glentoran Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Glentoran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Larne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Larne vs Bangor 0-2
Aug 29 Larne vs Ballymena… 2-0
Aug 22 Larne vs Portadown 4-0
Aug 19 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 1-1
Aug 14 Larne vs Santa Cla… 0-0
Aug 10 Larne vs Coleraine… 1-0
Aug 07 Larne vs Santa Cla… 0-3
Jul 31 Larne vs Prishtina 1-1
Jul 24 Larne vs Prishtina 0-0
Apr 26 Larne vs Glentoran 0-0
Glentoran Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Glentoran vs Linfield 1-1
Sep 06 Glentoran vs Dungannon… 0-2
Sep 06 Glentoran vs Ballymena… 0-2
Aug 30 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 1-1
Aug 30 Glentoran vs Cliftonvi… 3-1
Aug 23 Glentoran vs Coleraine… 1-2
Aug 23 Glentoran vs Crusaders… 0-2
Aug 19 Glentoran vs Glentoran 2-0
Aug 16 Glentoran vs Bangor 1-0
Aug 16 Glentoran vs Carrick R… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 26, 2025 Larne 0 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Mar 22, 2025 Glentoran 0 - 1 Larne Premiership
Mar 18, 2025 Glentoran 2 - 2 Larne Premiership
Feb 18, 2025 Larne 1 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Nov 02, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Sep 20, 2024 Larne 2 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Sep 17, 2024 Glentoran 0 - 0 Larne Premiership
Apr 16, 2024 Glentoran 1 - 2 Larne Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Larne 6 - 1 Glentoran Premiership
Feb 23, 2024 Larne 3 - 0 Glentoran Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Glentoran Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Glentoran Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 69%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.