AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Aug 16, 2025

Dungannon Swifts

Home
VS
14:00

Portadown

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dungannon Swifts Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Portadown Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.48 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Dungannon Swifts Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Dungannon… vs Linfield 3-0
Jul 31 Dungannon… vs FC Vaduz 0-3
Jul 24 Dungannon… vs FC Vaduz 0-1
Jul 19 Dungannon… vs Rathfrila… 1-2
Jul 04 Dungannon… vs Linfield 0-0
Apr 26 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 1-0
Apr 19 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 3-2
Apr 12 Dungannon… vs Linfield 2-0
Apr 01 Dungannon… vs Larne 1-1
Mar 29 Dungannon… vs Bangor 0-2
Portadown Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Portadown vs Glentoran 0-1
Apr 26 Portadown vs Ballymena… 2-1
Apr 19 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Apr 05 Portadown vs Carrick R… 4-1
Mar 15 Portadown vs Dungannon… 1-1
Mar 08 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-0
Feb 22 Portadown vs Ballymena… 2-0
Feb 15 Portadown vs Larne 2-0
Feb 09 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 2-2
Feb 01 Portadown vs Larne 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dungannon Swifts struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 15, 2025 Portadown 1 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 19, 2024 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Sep 13, 2024 Portadown 2 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jul 18, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Portadown Friendlies Clu…
Apr 22, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 3 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Feb 24, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 02, 2023 Portadown 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Sep 23, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Portadown Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Dungannon Swifts Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Portadown Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.