AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Sep 05, 2025

MC Oran

Home
VS
18:00

Mostaganem

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
MC Oran Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Mostaganem Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.60 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MC Oran Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Mostaganem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
MC Oran Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 MC Oran vs Oued Akbou 1-0
Aug 21 MC Oran vs Ben Aknoun 2-1
Jun 20 MC Oran vs MC Alger 4-0
Jun 17 MC Oran vs CR Beloui… 2-0
Apr 25 MC Oran vs Oued Akbou 1-0
Apr 18 MC Oran vs ES Sétif 1-0
Feb 25 MC Oran vs ASO Chlef 1-0
Feb 19 MC Oran vs Mostaganem 1-0
Feb 07 MC Oran vs Usm El Ha… 0-1
Feb 03 MC Oran vs CR Beloui… 1-2
Mostaganem Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Mostaganem vs CS Consta… 2-0
Aug 22 Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou 1-0
May 18 Mostaganem vs El Bayadh 0-0
May 10 Mostaganem vs JS Saoura 0-0
Apr 10 Mostaganem vs Oued Akbou 1-1
Mar 26 Mostaganem vs Usm El Ha… 1-1
Feb 19 Mostaganem vs MC Oran 1-0
Feb 13 Mostaganem vs CS Consta… 0-0
Nov 30 Mostaganem vs El Bayadh 1-1
Nov 23 Mostaganem vs JS Saoura 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MC Oran in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2025 MC Oran 1 - 0 Mostaganem Ligue 1
Sep 28, 2024 Mostaganem 2 - 1 MC Oran Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: MC Oran to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MC Oran Power 0
Mostaganem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

MC Oran Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Mostaganem Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.