AI Match Insights
Primera B Sep 15, 2025
Quindio
HomeVS
21:00
Leones FC
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Quindio Win
Draw
Leones FC Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 58%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.87 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.4
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Quindio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Quindio Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 09 | Quindio vs Huila | 1-1 |
| Sep 04 | Quindio vs Atlético … | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Quindio vs Jaguares | 2-0 |
| Aug 28 | Quindio vs Atlético … | 4-0 |
| Aug 23 | Quindio vs Depor FC | 2-1 |
| Aug 18 | Quindio vs Patriotas… | 2-0 |
| Aug 13 | Quindio vs Cúcuta De… | 2-2 |
| Aug 09 | Quindio vs Barranqui… | 1-1 |
| Aug 01 | Quindio vs Internaci… | 2-1 |
| Jul 19 | Quindio vs Popayan | 2-2 |
Leones FC Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 | Leones FC vs Internaci… | 1-0 |
| Sep 05 | Leones FC vs Jaguares | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Leones FC vs Real Soac… | 3-0 |
| Aug 25 | Leones FC vs Real Sant… | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | Leones FC vs Real Cart… | 4-0 |
| Aug 11 | Leones FC vs Tigres FC | 1-1 |
| Aug 04 | Leones FC vs Barranqui… | 2-2 |
| Jul 19 | Leones FC vs Orsomarso | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | Leones FC vs Popayan | 1-1 |
| Jun 12 | Leones FC vs Fortaleza… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Leones FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2025 | Leones FC | 4 - 1 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Quindio | 4 - 0 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| May 12, 2024 | Leones FC | 2 - 2 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Aug 02, 2023 | Leones FC | 0 - 0 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Quindio | 0 - 3 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| Oct 08, 2022 | Quindio | 3 - 2 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| May 03, 2022 | Leones FC | 0 - 0 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Leones FC | 0 - 2 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Oct 08, 2020 | Quindio | 1 - 0 | Leones FC | Primera B |
Final Verdict
PRO: Quindio to win (65% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Quindio Power
0
Leones FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Quindio Position+13
Position Gap14
Leones FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.