AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Aug 02, 2025

Tigres FC

Home
VS
20:30

Orsomarso

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tigres FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Orsomarso Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.24 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Orsomarso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Tigres FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 Tigres FC vs America d… 5-0
Jul 25 Tigres FC vs Huila 1-0
Jul 18 Tigres FC vs Depor FC 1-1
Jul 13 Tigres FC vs Real Sant… 2-0
Jun 14 Tigres FC vs Jaguares 0-1
Jun 11 Tigres FC vs Real Cart… 1-1
Jun 07 Tigres FC vs Internaci… 1-2
Jun 02 Tigres FC vs Internaci… 1-0
May 30 Tigres FC vs Real Cart… 3-0
May 26 Tigres FC vs Jaguares 0-1
Orsomarso Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Orsomarso vs Jaguares 1-0
Jul 19 Orsomarso vs Leones FC 0-1
Jul 15 Orsomarso vs Bogota FC 1-1
Jun 11 Orsomarso vs Rionegro … 2-1
Jun 08 Orsomarso vs Alianza P… 2-2
Jun 04 Orsomarso vs Barranqui… 2-0
May 30 Orsomarso vs Envigado 0-1
May 18 Orsomarso vs Cúcuta De… 2-2
May 13 Orsomarso vs Quindio 0-0
May 04 Orsomarso vs Internaci… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Orsomarso 1 - 1 Tigres FC Primera B
Aug 12, 2024 Orsomarso 1 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Jun 01, 2024 Tigres FC 0 - 1 Orsomarso Primera B
May 28, 2024 Orsomarso 4 - 1 Tigres FC Primera B
Feb 20, 2024 Tigres FC 0 - 1 Orsomarso Primera B
Aug 21, 2023 Tigres FC 1 - 3 Orsomarso Primera B
Mar 05, 2023 Orsomarso 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 12, 2022 Tigres FC 1 - 0 Orsomarso Primera B
Feb 26, 2022 Orsomarso 0 - 2 Tigres FC Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres FC Power 0
Orsomarso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres FC Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Orsomarso Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.