AI Match Insights
Primera B Apr 06, 2025
Leones FC
HomeVS
20:00
Quindio
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Leones FC Win
Draw
Quindio Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Quindio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (2%)
1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Leones FC Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28 | Leones FC vs Jaguares | 2-0 |
| Mar 25 | Leones FC vs Real Soac… | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Leones FC vs Real Sant… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Leones FC vs Internaci… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Leones FC vs Tigres FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Leones FC vs Barranqui… | 2-3 |
| Feb 17 | Leones FC vs Real Cart… | 1-2 |
| Feb 09 | Leones FC vs Orsomarso | 2-3 |
| Feb 03 | Leones FC vs Popayan | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | Leones FC vs Quindio | 4-0 |
Quindio Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | Quindio vs Huila | 2-0 |
| Mar 22 | Quindio vs Jaguares | 2-2 |
| Mar 17 | Quindio vs Depor FC | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Quindio vs Patriotas… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Quindio vs Internaci… | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | Quindio vs Cúcuta De… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Quindio vs Popayan | 4-0 |
| Feb 05 | Quindio vs Huila | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Quindio vs Llaneros | 4-2 |
| Nov 18 | Quindio vs Orsomarso | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Leones FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Quindio struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | Quindio | 4 - 0 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| May 12, 2024 | Leones FC | 2 - 2 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Aug 02, 2023 | Leones FC | 0 - 0 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Quindio | 0 - 3 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| Oct 08, 2022 | Quindio | 3 - 2 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| May 03, 2022 | Leones FC | 0 - 0 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Leones FC | 0 - 2 | Quindio | Primera B |
| Oct 08, 2020 | Quindio | 1 - 0 | Leones FC | Primera B |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Leones FC Power
0
Quindio Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
14
Leones FC Position-13
Position Gap1
Quindio Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.