AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 27, 2025

Patriotas Boyacá

Home
VS
22:45

Orsomarso

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Patriotas Boyacá Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Orsomarso Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.35 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Patriotas Boyacá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Orsomarso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Patriotas Boyacá Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 Patriotas… vs Popayan 1-2
Feb 17 Patriotas… vs Barranqui… 1-0
Feb 07 Patriotas… vs Real Soac… 0-0
Jan 31 Patriotas… vs Cúcuta De… 2-0
Nov 15 Patriotas… vs Deportivo… 3-2
Nov 10 Patriotas… vs Deportes … 2-1
Apr 25 Patriotas… vs Bucaraman… 0-3
Apr 11 Patriotas… vs Bucaraman… 3-0
Nov 29 Patriotas… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Nov 23 Patriotas… vs Fortaleza… 3-1
Orsomarso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Orsomarso vs Tigres FC 1-1
Feb 15 Orsomarso vs Jaguares 1-1
Feb 09 Orsomarso vs Leones FC 2-3
Feb 01 Orsomarso vs Bogota FC 2-2
Nov 23 Orsomarso vs Real Cart… 0-1
Nov 18 Orsomarso vs Quindio 0-2
Nov 14 Orsomarso vs Llaneros 1-0
Nov 09 Orsomarso vs Llaneros 2-0
Nov 04 Orsomarso vs Quindio 0-0
Oct 31 Orsomarso vs Real Cart… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Patriotas Boyacá in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Patriotas Boyacá Power 0
Orsomarso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Patriotas Boyacá Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Orsomarso Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.