AI Match Insights
Primera B Feb 10, 2025
Barranquilla
HomeVS
23:05
Real Santander
AwayAI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Barranquilla Win
Draw
Real Santander Win
Home Win
(59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
80%
Market
50%
Combined: 66%
Draw Risk: 7%
xG: 4.50 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Barranquilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Real Santander Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
Barranquilla Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 1-2 |
| Oct 22 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Barranqui… vs Bogota FC | 4-2 |
| Oct 10 | Barranqui… vs Leones FC | 1-2 |
| May 11 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 4-0 |
| Nov 11 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 19 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 3-1 |
| Sep 04 | Barranqui… vs Patriotas… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Barranqui… vs Depor FC | 0-3 |
Real Santander Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Real Sant… vs Tigres FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Real Sant… vs Internaci… | 4-2 |
| Oct 16 | Real Sant… vs Llaneros | 0-4 |
| Oct 09 | Real Sant… vs Cúcuta De… | 0-2 |
| Aug 16 | Real Sant… vs Depor FC | 0-1 |
| Jun 02 | Real Sant… vs Alianza W | 3-2 |
| May 25 | Real Sant… vs Millonari… | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Real Sant… vs Depor FC | 1-1 |
| Aug 05 | Real Sant… vs Patriotas… | 2-1 |
| Jul 22 | Real Sant… vs Depor FC | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Barranquilla in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Real Santander struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Barranquilla to win (46% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Barranquilla Power
0
Real Santander Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
4
Barranquilla Position+10
Position Gap14
Real Santander Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.