AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Sep 14, 2025

Cariari Pococi

Home
VS
20:00

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Cariari Pococi Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.40 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cariari Pococi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Cariari Pococi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Cariari P… vs Escorpion… 1-0
Aug 31 Cariari P… vs AD Carmel… 1-1
Aug 28 Cariari P… vs San Carlos 2-0
Aug 26 Cariari P… vs Santa Ana 2-2
Aug 13 Cariari P… vs San Carlos 1-0
Apr 13 Cariari P… vs Escorpion… 0-1
Apr 07 Cariari P… vs Futbol Co… 2-1
Apr 02 Cariari P… vs Aserri FC 2-1
Mar 23 Cariari P… vs Turrialba… 3-1
Mar 16 Cariari P… vs Limón Bla… 1-0
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 Pitbulls … vs Escorpion… 1-2
Sep 04 Pitbulls … vs AD Carmel… 2-1
Sep 02 Pitbulls … vs Santa Ana 0-0
Aug 19 Pitbulls … vs Aserri FC 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cariari Pococi to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cariari Pococi Power 0
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Cariari Pococi Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.