AI Match Insights

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Liga de Ascenso Sep 13, 2025

Escorpiones Belén

Home
VS
19:10

CS Uruguay

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Escorpiones Belén Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
CS Uruguay Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.57 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Escorpiones Belén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
CS Uruguay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Escorpiones Belén Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 Escorpion… vs Pitbulls … 1-2
Sep 04 Escorpion… vs Cariari P… 1-0
Aug 22 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 0-1
Aug 20 Escorpion… vs Puntarena… 1-1
Aug 16 Escorpion… vs Santa Ana 1-1
Apr 13 Escorpion… vs Cariari P… 0-1
Mar 25 Escorpion… vs Aserri FC 2-0
Mar 06 Escorpion… vs Limón Bla… 2-0
Mar 04 Escorpion… vs Cariari P… 1-0
Feb 09 Escorpion… vs Aserri FC 0-1
CS Uruguay Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 CS Uruguay vs Chile 0-0
Sep 07 CS Uruguay vs AD Carmel… 2-1
Sep 05 CS Uruguay vs Santa Ana 2-1
Sep 04 CS Uruguay vs Peru 3-0
Aug 23 CS Uruguay vs Aserri FC 0-0
Aug 19 CS Uruguay vs Sporting … 0-0
Aug 16 CS Uruguay vs Futbol Co… 1-2
Jun 10 CS Uruguay vs Venezuela 2-0
Apr 13 CS Uruguay vs Turrialba… 1-2
Apr 04 CS Uruguay vs Limón Bla… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Escorpiones BelĂ©n in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Escorpiones Belén to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Escorpiones Belén Power 0
CS Uruguay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Escorpiones Belén Position

+5

Position Gap

6

CS Uruguay Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.