AI Match Insights

Liga de Ascenso Sep 12, 2025

AD Carmelita

Home
VS
21:00

Futbol Consultants Moravia

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
AD Carmelita Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Futbol Consultants Moravia Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.10 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Futbol Consultants Moravia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
AD Carmelita Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 AD Carmel… vs CS Uruguay 2-1
Sep 04 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-1
Aug 31 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Aug 27 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 2-0
Aug 22 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 0-1
Aug 14 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 1-1
Apr 22 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 5-2
Apr 15 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 2-0
Mar 04 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 2-1
Jan 21 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 3-1
Futbol Consultants Moravia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 09 Futbol Co… vs Santa Ana 1-2
Aug 31 Futbol Co… vs Aserri FC 2-1
Aug 16 Futbol Co… vs CS Uruguay 1-2
Apr 13 Futbol Co… vs Limón Bla… 0-0
Apr 10 Futbol Co… vs Aserri FC 0-1
Apr 07 Futbol Co… vs Cariari P… 2-1
Mar 15 Futbol Co… vs CS Uruguay 2-1
Mar 01 Futbol Co… vs Limón Bla… 1-0
Feb 23 Futbol Co… vs Cariari P… 4-0
Feb 05 Futbol Co… vs Aserri FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Futbol Consultants Moravia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AD Carmelita Power 0
Futbol Consultants Moravia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AD Carmelita Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Futbol Consultants Moravia Position

Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.