AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Sep 07, 2025

CS Uruguay

Home
VS
21:00

AD Carmelita

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
CS Uruguay Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
AD Carmelita Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.52 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CS Uruguay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
CS Uruguay Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 05 CS Uruguay vs Santa Ana 2-1
Sep 04 CS Uruguay vs Peru 3-0
Aug 23 CS Uruguay vs Aserri FC 0-0
Aug 19 CS Uruguay vs Sporting … 0-0
Aug 16 CS Uruguay vs Futbol Co… 1-2
Jun 10 CS Uruguay vs Venezuela 2-0
Apr 13 CS Uruguay vs Turrialba… 1-2
Apr 04 CS Uruguay vs Limón Bla… 3-2
Apr 01 CS Uruguay vs Olimpia 0-1
Mar 15 CS Uruguay vs Futbol Co… 2-1
AD Carmelita Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-1
Aug 31 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Aug 27 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 2-0
Aug 22 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 0-1
Aug 14 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 1-1
Apr 22 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 5-2
Apr 15 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 2-0
Mar 04 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 2-1
Jan 21 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 3-1
Oct 01 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CS Uruguay Power 0
AD Carmelita Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

CS Uruguay Position

-2

Position Gap

4

AD Carmelita Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.