AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division League (FDL) Oct 04, 2025

Al Riyadh

Home
VS
17:20

Al Jabalain

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Al Riyadh Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Al Jabalain Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.57 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Riyadh Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Al Jabalain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Al Riyadh Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Al Riyadh vs Al-Raed 0-1
Sep 27 Al Riyadh vs Al Suqoor 2-3
Sep 24 Al Riyadh vs Al Jabala… 0-1
Sep 20 Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr 5-1
Sep 17 Al Riyadh vs Al Zulfi 3-0
Sep 14 Al Riyadh vs Al Najma 2-1
Sep 12 Al Riyadh vs Al Orubah 1-0
Aug 29 Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal … 2-0
May 26 Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli S… 0-1
May 23 Al Riyadh vs Al-Adalah 0-0
Al Jabalain Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 3-0
Sep 29 Al Jabala… vs Al Anwar 0-0
Sep 28 Al Jabala… vs Jeddah Cl… 4-1
Sep 27 Al Jabala… vs Al-Faisaly 0-0
Sep 24 Al Jabala… vs Al-Fateh … 1-2
Sep 24 Al Jabala… vs Al Riyadh 0-1
Sep 18 Al Jabala… vs Al Zulfi 2-0
Sep 18 Al Jabala… vs Al Anwar 0-1
Sep 16 Al Jabala… vs Abha 1-3
Sep 13 Al Jabala… vs Al Zulfi 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Riyadh struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2025 Al Jabalain 0 - 1 Al Riyadh King's Cup
Mar 09, 2025 Al Jabalain 0 - 1 Al Riyadh First Division…
Jan 27, 2025 Al Jabalain 2 - 1 Al Riyadh First Division…
Nov 20, 2024 Al Riyadh 2 - 1 Al Jabalain First Division…
Aug 26, 2024 Al Riyadh 0 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
May 21, 2024 Al Riyadh 2 - 3 Al Jabalain First Division…
Apr 30, 2024 Al Riyadh 1 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
Jan 03, 2024 Al Jabalain 2 - 0 Al Riyadh First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Riyadh Power 0
Al Jabalain Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.