AI Match Insights

First Division League (FDL) Oct 03, 2025

Al Orubah

Home
VS
17:20

Al Jabalain

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al Orubah Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Al Jabalain Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.89 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Orubah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Al Jabalain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Al Orubah Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Al Orubah vs Al Wehda … 0-2
Sep 28 Al Orubah vs Abha 2-3
Sep 24 Al Orubah vs Al-Qadisi… 1-3
Sep 17 Al Orubah vs Al-Adalah 3-1
Sep 17 Al Orubah vs Al Taee 2-1
Sep 13 Al Orubah vs Al Taee 0-0
Sep 12 Al Orubah vs Al Riyadh 1-0
May 26 Al Orubah vs Al Taawou… 3-2
May 20 Al Orubah vs Al-Qadisi… 3-1
May 16 Al Orubah vs Al Khalee… 1-2
Al Jabalain Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Al Jabala… vs Al Anwar 0-0
Sep 28 Al Jabala… vs Jeddah Cl… 4-1
Sep 27 Al Jabala… vs Al-Faisaly 0-0
Sep 24 Al Jabala… vs Al-Fateh … 1-2
Sep 24 Al Jabala… vs Al Riyadh 0-1
Sep 18 Al Jabala… vs Al Zulfi 2-0
Sep 18 Al Jabala… vs Al Anwar 0-1
Sep 16 Al Jabala… vs Abha 1-3
Sep 13 Al Jabala… vs Al Zulfi 2-1
Sep 12 Al Jabala… vs Jeddah Cl… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Orubah in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 21, 2024 Al Orubah 1 - 0 Al Jabalain First Division…
May 01, 2024 Al Jabalain 3 - 0 Al Orubah First Division…
Jan 03, 2024 Al Jabalain 1 - 0 Al Orubah First Division…
Dec 13, 2023 Al Orubah 0 - 2 Al Jabalain First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Orubah Power 0
Al Jabalain Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Orubah Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Al Jabalain Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.