AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Oct 12, 2025
Municipal
HomeVS
16:00
Cobán Imperial
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Municipal Win
Draw
Cobán Imperial Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Combined: 65%
Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Cobán Imperial Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Municipal Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 | Municipal vs Aurora | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Municipal vs Achuapa | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Municipal vs Marquense | 3-0 |
| Sep 18 | Municipal vs Antigua G… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Municipal vs Guastatoya | 0-3 |
| Sep 04 | Municipal vs Mixco | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Municipal vs Mictlán | 0-0 |
| Aug 29 | Municipal vs CS Heredi… | 4-4 |
| Aug 24 | Municipal vs XelajĂş | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Municipal vs Malacatec… | 2-3 |
Cobán Imperial Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Cobán Imp… vs Guastatoya | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Cobán Imp… vs Mixco | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Cobán Imp… vs Mictlán | 1-0 |
| Sep 16 | Cobán Imp… vs Xelajú | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Cobán Imp… vs Malacatec… | 3-0 |
| Sep 03 | Cobán Imp… vs Comunicac… | 3-1 |
| Aug 31 | Cobán Imp… vs Antigua G… | 2-2 |
| Aug 24 | Cobán Imp… vs Aurora | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Cobán Imp… vs Achuapa | 2-2 |
| Aug 11 | Cobán Imp… vs Marquense | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Municipal in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Cobán Imperial struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 03, 2025 | Cobán Imperial | 0 - 1 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Municipal to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Municipal Power
0
Cobán Imperial Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Municipal Position+8
Position Gap9
Cobán Imperial Position
Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.