AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 22, 2025

Aurora

Home
VS
16:00

Mictlán

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Aurora Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Mictlán Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.42 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Mictlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Aurora Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Aurora vs Achuapa 2-1
Oct 13 Aurora vs Marquense 1-1
Oct 05 Aurora vs Municipal 1-0
Sep 28 Aurora vs Guastatoya 3-2
Sep 20 Aurora vs Mixco 2-2
Sep 14 Aurora vs XelajĂş 2-2
Sep 07 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Aug 30 Aurora vs Comunicac… 0-2
Aug 24 Aurora vs Cobán Imp… 1-1
Aug 16 Aurora vs Antigua G… 3-2
Mictlán Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Mictlán vs Antigua G… 1-2
Oct 11 Mictlán vs Xelajú 2-1
Oct 05 Mictlán vs Malacatec… 1-0
Sep 28 Mictlán vs Comunicac… 1-0
Sep 21 Mictlán vs Cobán Imp… 1-0
Sep 14 Mictlán vs Achuapa 1-0
Sep 06 Mictlán vs Marquense 1-0
Sep 01 Mictlán vs Municipal 0-0
Aug 23 Mictlán vs Guastatoya 1-3
Aug 17 Mictlán vs Mixco 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mictlán in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2025 Mictlán 2 - 2 Aurora Primera Divisi…
May 17, 2025 Aurora 2 - 0 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Mar 23, 2025 Mictlán 1 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Feb 12, 2025 Aurora 0 - 1 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Nov 24, 2024 Mictlán 2 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Nov 17, 2024 Aurora 4 - 3 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Oct 12, 2024 Aurora 0 - 1 Mictlán Primera Divisi…
Aug 25, 2024 Mictlán 2 - 3 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Apr 21, 2024 Mictlán 1 - 0 Aurora Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aurora Power 0
Mictlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Aurora Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Mictlán Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.