AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Aug 23, 2025

Antigua GFC

Home
VS
01:00

Mixco

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Antigua GFC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Mixco Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 3.19 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Antigua GFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Mixco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Antigua GFC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Antigua G… vs Aurora 3-2
Aug 13 Antigua G… vs Plaza Ama… 3-5
Aug 10 Antigua G… vs Mictlán 2-0
Aug 06 Antigua G… vs Atalanta 0-0
Aug 02 Antigua G… vs Achuapa 2-0
Jul 30 Antigua G… vs Managua FC 1-4
Jul 25 Antigua G… vs Xelajú 0-2
Jul 20 Antigua G… vs Marquense 3-0
May 18 Antigua G… vs Municipal 1-2
May 16 Antigua G… vs Municipal 0-0
Mixco Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Mixco vs Mictlán 0-0
Aug 09 Mixco vs XelajĂş 2-1
Aug 02 Mixco vs Malacatec… 1-2
Jul 26 Mixco vs Comunicac… 1-0
Jul 19 Mixco vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
May 04 Mixco vs Municipal 4-0
May 01 Mixco vs Municipal 0-0
Apr 27 Mixco vs Guastatoya 1-0
Apr 17 Mixco vs Malacatec… 2-1
Apr 13 Mixco vs Municipal 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mixco in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Antigua GFC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antigua GFC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antigua GFC Power 0
Mixco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Antigua GFC Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Mixco Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.