AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Aug 18, 2025

Xelajú

Home
VS
02:00

Guastatoya

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Xelajú Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Guastatoya Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.18 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Guastatoya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Xelajú Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Xelajú vs Real Este… 4-1
Aug 09 Xelajú vs Mixco 2-1
Aug 07 Xelajú vs Águila 3-0
Aug 02 Xelajú vs Mictlán 0-0
Jul 31 Xelajú vs Hércules 0-2
Jul 25 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 0-2
Jul 20 Xelajú vs Malacatec… 0-1
Apr 21 Xelajú vs Marquense 1-0
Apr 18 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 3-2
Mar 29 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-0
Guastatoya Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Guastatoya vs Malacatec… 1-2
Aug 03 Guastatoya vs Comunicac… 2-2
Jul 27 Guastatoya vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Jul 20 Guastatoya vs Aurora 1-0
May 04 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 2-0
Apr 30 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 0-3
Apr 27 Guastatoya vs Mixco 1-0
Apr 17 Guastatoya vs Municipal 1-0
Apr 09 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 1-2
Mar 05 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Xelajú in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Guastatoya struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Xelajú to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Xelajú Power 0
Guastatoya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Xelajú Position

+5

Position Gap

11

Guastatoya Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.