AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Aug 16, 2025
Malacateco FC
HomeVS
17:00
Municipal
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Malacateco FC Win
Draw
Municipal Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.75 - 0.70
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (23%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
Under 2.5 Goals
82%
Malacateco FC Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 09 | Malacatec… vs Guastatoya | 1-2 |
| Aug 02 | Malacatec… vs Mixco | 1-2 |
| Jul 27 | Malacatec… vs Mictlán | 2-2 |
| Jul 20 | Malacatec… vs Xelajú | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Malacatec… vs Marquense | 2-0 |
| Apr 17 | Malacatec… vs Mixco | 2-1 |
| Apr 10 | Malacatec… vs Antigua G… | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Malacatec… vs Municipal | 0-1 |
Municipal Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | Municipal vs Real Espa… | 2-1 |
| Aug 10 | Municipal vs Comunicac… | 1-1 |
| Aug 08 | Municipal vs Sporting … | 1-1 |
| Aug 03 | Municipal vs Cobán Imp… | 0-1 |
| Aug 01 | Municipal vs Diriangén | 1-1 |
| Jul 26 | Municipal vs Aurora | 2-1 |
| Jul 20 | Municipal vs Achuapa | 2-2 |
| May 18 | Municipal vs Antigua G… | 1-2 |
| May 16 | Municipal vs Antigua G… | 0-0 |
| May 11 | Municipal vs Marquense | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Malacateco FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 0 - 1 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Municipal | 4 - 2 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Malacateco FC | 4 - 0 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Municipal | 0 - 0 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Municipal | 4 - 0 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Malacateco FC | 3 - 2 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Municipal | 3 - 0 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Malacateco FC Power
0
Municipal Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Malacateco FC Position-4
Position Gap1
Municipal Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.