AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Aug 30, 2025

Ipswich

Home
VS
14:00

Derby

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Ipswich Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Derby Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 0.78 - 2.44
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ipswich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Derby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 0-3 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-3 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Ipswich Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Ipswich vs Preston 1-0
Aug 17 Ipswich vs Southampt… 1-1
Aug 12 Ipswich vs Burnley 1-1
Aug 08 Ipswich vs Birmingham 1-1
May 25 Ipswich vs West Brom 1-3
May 18 Ipswich vs Leicester 2-0
May 10 Ipswich vs Brentford 0-1
May 03 Ipswich vs Everton 2-2
Apr 26 Ipswich vs Newcastle… 3-0
Apr 20 Ipswich vs Arsenal 0-4
Derby Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Derby vs Burnley 2-1
Aug 22 Derby vs Bristol C… 1-1
Aug 16 Derby vs Coventry 3-5
Aug 12 Derby vs West Brom 1-1
Aug 09 Derby vs Stoke City 3-1
May 03 Derby vs Stoke City 0-0
Apr 26 Derby vs Hull City 0-1
Apr 21 Derby vs West Brom 1-3
Apr 18 Derby vs Bolton 0-1
Apr 12 Derby vs Portsmout… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derby struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2023 Derby 0 - 2 Ipswich League One
Oct 21, 2022 Ipswich 1 - 0 Derby League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ipswich Power 43
Derby Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Ipswich Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Derby Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 53%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.