AI Match Insights
Eerste Divisie Oct 21, 2025
Den Bosch
HomeVS
18:00
Helmond Sport
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Den Bosch Win
Draw
Helmond Sport Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.81 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8
Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Den Bosch Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Helmond Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
Den Bosch Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | Den Bosch vs Roda | 6-0 |
| Oct 06 | Den Bosch vs Vitesse | 1-2 |
| Oct 03 | Den Bosch vs Waalwijk | 2-2 |
| Sep 30 | Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo | 0-1 |
| Sep 26 | Den Bosch vs Jong AZ | 2-3 |
| Sep 22 | Den Bosch vs Jong PSV | 3-0 |
| Sep 16 | Den Bosch vs MVV Maast… | 2-4 |
| Sep 12 | Den Bosch vs Dordrecht | 3-3 |
| Aug 29 | Den Bosch vs Emmen | 3-1 |
| Aug 24 | Den Bosch vs FC OSS | 5-2 |
Helmond Sport Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | Helmond S… vs Jong AZ | 4-2 |
| Oct 03 | Helmond S… vs Almere Ci… | 2-1 |
| Sep 30 | Helmond S… vs Willem II | 1-0 |
| Sep 26 | Helmond S… vs FC Eindho… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Helmond S… vs Vitesse | 3-1 |
| Sep 16 | Helmond S… vs Jong Utre… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Helmond S… vs VVV Venlo | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | Helmond S… vs ADO Den H… | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | Helmond S… vs Emmen | 2-0 |
| Aug 15 | Helmond S… vs Waalwijk | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Helmond Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2025 | Den Bosch | 1 - 0 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 06, 2024 | Helmond Sport | 0 - 0 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Den Bosch | 0 - 0 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 0 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Den Bosch | 1 - 2 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 0 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| May 06, 2022 | Helmond Sport | 1 - 1 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 06, 2021 | Den Bosch | 2 - 0 | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Den Bosch to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Den Bosch Power
0
Helmond Sport Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Den Bosch Position+7
Position Gap17
Helmond Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.