AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Oct 06, 2025

Rosario Central

Home
VS
00:15

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Rosario Central Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
River Plate Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 0.99 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (25%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Rosario Central Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Rosario C… vs Gimnasia … 0-3
Sep 21 Rosario C… vs Talleres … 1-1
Sep 14 Rosario C… vs Boca Juni… 1-1
Aug 23 Rosario C… vs Newell’s … 1-0
Aug 16 Rosario C… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Aug 09 Rosario C… vs Atlético … 0-0
Jul 26 Rosario C… vs San Martí… 0-0
Jul 19 Rosario C… vs Lanús 0-1
Jul 12 Rosario C… vs Godoy Cruz 1-1
Jun 28 Rosario C… vs Unión San… 0-0
River Plate Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 River Pla… vs Racing Cl… 0-1
Sep 28 River Pla… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Sep 25 River Pla… vs Palmeiras 3-1
Sep 21 River Pla… vs Atlético … 2-0
Sep 13 River Pla… vs Estudiant… 1-2
Aug 31 River Pla… vs San Martí… 2-0
Aug 29 River Pla… vs Unión San… 0-0
Aug 26 River Pla… vs Lanús 1-1
Aug 17 River Pla… vs Godoy Cruz 4-2
Aug 09 River Pla… vs Independi… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • River Plate struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 River Plate 2 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Dec 08, 2024 River Plate 4 - 0 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Apr 08, 2024 River Plate 2 - 1 Rosario Central Copa de la Lig…
Dec 23, 2023 River Plate 0 - 2 Rosario Central Trofeo de Camp…
Dec 10, 2023 River Plate 0 - 0 Rosario Central Copa de la Lig…
Nov 11, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 1 River Plate Copa de la Lig…
Jul 24, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 3 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rosario Central Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rosario Central Position

-4

Position Gap

2

River Plate Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.