AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Sep 21, 2025

Tigre

Home
VS
15:00

Aldosivi

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Tigre Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Aldosivi Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.00 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Aldosivi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Tigre Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Tigre vs Talleres … 0-0
Sep 06 Tigre vs Independ.… 1-3
Aug 29 Tigre vs Banfield 1-0
Aug 22 Tigre vs Independ.… 1-1
Aug 16 Tigre vs Racing Cl… 1-2
Aug 08 Tigre vs Huracan 0-1
Aug 02 Tigre vs San Loren… 0-1
Jul 26 Tigre vs Unión San… 0-0
Jul 20 Tigre vs Argentino… 2-1
Jul 15 Tigre vs Vélez Sar… 2-1
Aldosivi Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Aldosivi vs Sarmiento… 2-0
Aug 31 Aldosivi vs Boca Juni… 0-2
Aug 25 Aldosivi vs Estudiant… 1-0
Aug 15 Aldosivi vs Belgrano … 0-0
Aug 10 Aldosivi vs Barracas … 3-1
Aug 01 Aldosivi vs Argentino… 1-2
Jul 26 Aldosivi vs Newell’s … 0-0
Jul 22 Aldosivi vs Defensa y… 2-0
Jul 11 Aldosivi vs Central C… 0-0
Jun 01 Aldosivi vs Estudiant… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aldosivi struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Aldosivi 0 - 2 Tigre Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tigre to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigre Power 0
Aldosivi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Tigre Position

+8

Position Gap

27

Aldosivi Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.