AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Aug 17, 2025

Defensa y Justicia

Home
VS
17:00

Newell’s Old Boys

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Defensa y Justicia Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Newell’s Old Boys Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.92 - 1.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Defensa y Justicia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Newell’s Old Boys Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (15%) 0-1 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Defensa y Justicia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Defensa y… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Jul 28 Defensa y… vs Central C… 2-1
Jul 22 Defensa y… vs Aldosivi 2-0
Jul 14 Defensa y… vs Banfield 0-0
May 23 Defensa y… vs Newell’s … 0-2
May 02 Defensa y… vs Independ.… 3-2
Apr 28 Defensa y… vs Racing Cl… 1-2
Apr 19 Defensa y… vs Huracan 1-1
Apr 14 Defensa y… vs Unión San… 0-0
Apr 06 Defensa y… vs Argentino… 4-1
Newell’s Old Boys Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Newell’s … vs Atlético … 2-3
Aug 09 Newell’s … vs Central C… 1-1
Jul 26 Newell’s … vs Aldosivi 0-0
Jul 20 Newell’s … vs Banfield 1-2
Jul 13 Newell’s … vs Independ.… 1-2
May 23 Newell’s … vs Defensa y… 0-2
May 02 Newell’s … vs Racing Cl… 1-0
Apr 29 Newell’s … vs Huracan 2-0
Apr 19 Newell’s … vs Unión San… 1-1
Apr 12 Newell’s … vs Argentino… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 23, 2025 Defensa y Justicia 0 - 2 Newell’s Old Boys Copa Argentina
Feb 12, 2025 Newell’s Old Boys 0 - 1 Defensa y Justicia Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Defensa y Justicia to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Defensa y Justicia Power 0
Newell’s Old Boys Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Defensa y Justicia Position

+11

Position Gap

25

Newell’s Old Boys Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.