AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 17, 2025

Platense

Home
VS
22:15

Independiente

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Platense Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Independiente Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.08 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Independiente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Platense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 Platense vs San Loren… 2-1
Feb 09 Platense vs Instituto… 1-0
Feb 04 Platense vs Argentino… 1-0
Jan 29 Platense vs Vélez Sar… 0-1
Jan 26 Platense vs River Pla… 1-1
Dec 15 Platense vs Gimnasia … 1-0
Dec 10 Platense vs Huracan 1-0
Dec 02 Platense vs Unión San… 1-0
Nov 27 Platense vs Sarmiento… 1-0
Sep 01 Platense vs San Martí… 2-0
Independiente Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Independi… vs Vélez Sar… 3-0
Feb 08 Independi… vs River Pla… 2-0
Feb 03 Independi… vs Gimnasia … 2-0
Jan 29 Independi… vs Talleres … 2-3
Jan 24 Independi… vs Sarmiento… 2-1
Dec 14 Independi… vs Boca Juni… 0-0
Dec 10 Independi… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 01 Independi… vs Central C… 2-0
Nov 26 Independi… vs Newell’s … 2-1
Oct 06 Independi… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Platense Power 0
Independiente Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Platense Position

-9

Position Gap

8

Independiente Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.