AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Feb 14, 2025

Atlético Tucumán

Home
VS
01:15

Sarmiento de Junín

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Atlético Tucumán Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sarmiento de Junín Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.94 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Tucumán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Sarmiento de Junín Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Atlético Tucumán Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Atlético … vs Rosario C… 3-1
Feb 05 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 0-3
Jan 31 Atlético … vs Central C… 2-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs San Martí… 0-1
Dec 17 Atlético … vs Central C… 2-0
Dec 10 Atlético … vs Independi… 2-1
Dec 03 Atlético … vs Newell’s … 0-0
Nov 19 Atlético … vs Huracan 4-2
Nov 01 Atlético … vs Godoy Cruz 1-1
Oct 28 Atlético … vs Lanús 1-0
Sarmiento de Junín Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Sarmiento… vs San Martí… 1-1
Feb 02 Sarmiento… vs Lanús 2-0
Jan 28 Sarmiento… vs Godoy Cruz 0-0
Jan 24 Sarmiento… vs Independi… 2-1
Dec 14 Sarmiento… vs Banfield 1-1
Dec 06 Sarmiento… vs Defensa y… 1-1
Dec 01 Sarmiento… vs Vélez Sar… 1-0
Nov 27 Sarmiento… vs Platense 1-0
Aug 08 Sarmiento… vs Argentino… 0-0
Jun 03 Sarmiento… vs San Loren… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlético Tucumán struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Tucumán to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Tucumán Power 0
Sarmiento de Junín Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Atlético Tucumán Position

+6

Position Gap

29

Sarmiento de Junín Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.