AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Aug 31, 2025

Santa Clara

Home
VS
19:30

Estrela da Amadora

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Santa Clara Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Estrela da Amadora Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Clara Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Estrela da Amadora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Santa Clara Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Santa Cla… vs Shamrock … 0-0
Aug 21 Santa Cla… vs Shamrock … 1-2
Aug 17 Santa Cla… vs Moreirense 0-1
Aug 14 Santa Cla… vs Larne 0-0
Aug 10 Santa Cla… vs Famalicao 3-0
Aug 07 Santa Cla… vs Larne 0-3
Jul 31 Santa Cla… vs NK Varažd… 2-0
Jul 24 Santa Cla… vs NK Varažd… 2-1
May 17 Santa Cla… vs Farense 1-2
May 10 Santa Cla… vs Famalicao 2-1
Estrela da Amadora Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Estrela d… vs Alverca 2-2
Aug 16 Estrela d… vs Benfica 0-1
Aug 11 Estrela d… vs Estoril 1-1
May 17 Estrela d… vs Estoril 4-0
May 11 Estrela d… vs AVS 0-1
May 05 Estrela d… vs Rio Ave FC 2-0
Apr 26 Estrela d… vs FC Porto 2-0
Apr 19 Estrela d… vs Arouca 1-0
Apr 13 Estrela d… vs Farense 0-1
Apr 06 Estrela d… vs Nacional 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Clara struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Estrela da Amadora struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 Estrela da Amadora 0 - 0 Santa Clara Primeira Liga
Sep 21, 2024 Santa Clara 1 - 0 Estrela da Amadora Primeira Liga
Sep 21, 2024 Santa Clara 1 - 0 Estrela da Amadora Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Clara Power 0
Estrela da Amadora Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Santa Clara Position

-2

Position Gap

14

Estrela da Amadora Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.