AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Aug 30, 2025

Sporting CP

Home
VS
19:30

FC Porto

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
FC Porto Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.28 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FC Porto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Sporting CP Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Sporting … vs Nacional 1-4
Aug 17 Sporting … vs Arouca 6-0
Aug 08 Sporting … vs Casa Pia … 0-2
Jul 31 Sporting … vs Benfica 0-1
May 25 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-3
May 17 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 2-0
May 10 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-1
May 04 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 2-1
Apr 27 Sporting … vs Boavista 0-5
Apr 22 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
FC Porto Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 FC Porto vs Makhachka… 1-3
Aug 24 FC Porto vs Casa Pia … 4-0
Aug 23 FC Porto vs Chertanovo 1-1
Aug 23 FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… 3-3
Aug 18 FC Porto vs GIL Vicen… 0-2
Aug 17 FC Porto vs Rubin 1-0
Aug 15 FC Porto vs Lokomotiv… 1-2
Aug 14 FC Porto vs Nizhny No… 1-0
Aug 11 FC Porto vs Guimaraes 3-0
Aug 10 FC Porto vs Nizhny No… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 07, 2025 Sporting CP 1 - 0 FC Porto Taça da Liga
Aug 03, 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 4 FC Porto Super Cup
May 26, 2024 FC Porto 2 - 1 Sporting CP Taça de Portug…
Apr 28, 2024 FC Porto 2 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
FC Porto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sporting CP Position

-1

Position Gap

1

FC Porto Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 91%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.