AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Aug 30, 2025

Casa Pia AC

Home
VS
14:30

Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Casa Pia AC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Nacional Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.81 - 0.77
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Casa Pia AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (21%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Casa Pia AC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Casa Pia … vs FC Porto 4-0
Aug 15 Casa Pia … vs AVS 0-2
Aug 08 Casa Pia … vs Sporting … 0-2
Aug 02 Casa Pia … vs Alverca 2-3
May 16 Casa Pia … vs Famalicao 2-1
May 10 Casa Pia … vs SC Braga 2-1
May 04 Casa Pia … vs Arouca 0-0
Apr 29 Casa Pia … vs Estoril 1-3
Apr 19 Casa Pia … vs AVS 1-1
Apr 12 Casa Pia … vs FC Porto 0-1
Nacional Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Nacional vs Sporting … 1-4
Aug 17 Nacional vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
Aug 09 Nacional vs GIL Vicen… 0-2
Jul 24 Nacional vs Tondela 1-2
May 17 Nacional vs FC Porto 3-0
May 10 Nacional vs Rio Ave FC 3-3
May 03 Nacional vs Guimaraes 1-2
Apr 27 Nacional vs Moreirense 1-1
Apr 19 Nacional vs GIL Vicen… 0-3
Apr 12 Nacional vs Boavista 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Casa Pia AC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Nacional struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2025 Nacional 3 - 1 Casa Pia AC Primeira Liga
Oct 25, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1 - 0 Nacional Pro League
Nov 25, 2023 Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia AC Taça de Portug…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Casa Pia AC Power 0
Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Casa Pia AC Position

-3

Position Gap

12

Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.