AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Aug 29, 2025

GIL Vicente

Home
VS
19:15

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
GIL Vicente Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Moreirense Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.30 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
GIL Vicente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
GIL Vicente Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 GIL Vicen… vs Famalicao 0-0
Aug 18 GIL Vicen… vs FC Porto 0-2
Aug 09 GIL Vicen… vs Nacional 0-2
Aug 02 GIL Vicen… vs Rio Ave FC 3-1
May 16 GIL Vicen… vs Rio Ave FC 1-1
May 10 GIL Vicen… vs Arouca 1-1
May 04 GIL Vicen… vs Sporting … 2-1
May 04 GIL Vicen… vs Sp Lisbon 2-1
Apr 26 GIL Vicen… vs Farense 1-0
Apr 19 GIL Vicen… vs Nacional 0-3
Moreirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 2-0
Aug 17 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Aug 10 Moreirense vs Alverca 2-1
Aug 02 Moreirense vs Académico… 0-1
Jul 23 Moreirense vs Famalicao 0-1
Jul 16 Moreirense vs SC Braga 2-0
May 17 Moreirense vs AVS 0-3
May 17 Moreirense vs Felgueira… 2-1
May 15 Moreirense vs Mafra 2-0
May 11 Moreirense vs Estoril 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Moreirense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2025 GIL Vicente 0 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Jan 12, 2025 GIL Vicente 1 - 0 Moreirense Taça de Portug…
Nov 08, 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Pro League
Nov 08, 2024 Moreirense 3 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Pro League
Dec 11, 2023 GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Apr 08, 2022 GIL Vicente 1 - 2 Moreirense Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2021 Moreirense 2 - 2 GIL Vicente Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GIL Vicente Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

GIL Vicente Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Moreirense Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.