AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Sep 07, 2025

Burgos

Home
VS
14:15

Las Palmas

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Burgos Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Las Palmas Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.76 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Burgos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Las Palmas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Burgos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Burgos vs FC Andorra 2-1
Aug 24 Burgos vs Deportivo… 0-0
Aug 15 Burgos vs Cultural … 5-1
Aug 09 Burgos vs Valladolid 2-2
Aug 02 Burgos vs Eibar 1-0
May 31 Burgos vs Malaga 2-2
May 25 Burgos vs Levante 2-3
May 17 Burgos vs Eibar 1-0
May 10 Burgos vs Cordoba 3-2
May 03 Burgos vs Elche 0-1
Las Palmas Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Las Palmas vs Malaga 0-1
Aug 25 Las Palmas vs Cordoba 1-3
Aug 17 Las Palmas vs FC Andorra 1-1
May 24 Las Palmas vs Espanyol 2-0
May 18 Las Palmas vs Levante 0-1
May 13 Las Palmas vs Sevilla FC 1-0
May 09 Las Palmas vs Valencia 0-1
May 09 Las Palmas vs Rayo Vall… 0-1
May 03 Las Palmas vs Valencia 2-3
Apr 23 Las Palmas vs Ath Bilbao 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Las Palmas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 06, 2023 Burgos 0 - 0 Las Palmas Segunda Divisi…
Nov 01, 2022 Las Palmas 0 - 2 Burgos Segunda Divisi…
Feb 13, 2022 Las Palmas 0 - 2 Burgos Segunda Divisi…
Sep 20, 2021 Burgos 0 - 0 Las Palmas Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Burgos Power 37
Las Palmas Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Burgos Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Las Palmas Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.