AI Match Insights

Serie A Sep 21, 2025

Inter

Home
VS
18:45

Sassuolo

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Inter Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Sassuolo Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.45 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.1 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Inter Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Sassuolo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Inter Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Inter vs DC United 3-2
Sep 17 Inter vs Ajax 0-2
Sep 16 Inter vs Seattle S… 3-1
Sep 13 Inter vs Juventus 4-3
Sep 13 Inter vs Charlotte 3-0
Aug 31 Inter vs Udinese 1-2
Aug 25 Inter vs Torino 5-0
Aug 23 Inter vs DC United 1-1
Aug 16 Inter vs Olympiako… 2-0
Aug 16 Inter vs Los Angel… 3-1
Sassuolo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Sassuolo vs Lazio 1-0
Aug 29 Sassuolo vs Cremonese 3-2
Aug 23 Sassuolo vs Napoli 0-2
Aug 15 Sassuolo vs Catanzaro 1-0
Aug 09 Sassuolo vs Stade Bre… 1-1
May 13 Sassuolo vs Frosinone 0-1
May 09 Sassuolo vs Catanzaro 0-2
May 04 Sassuolo vs Cremonese 1-1
May 01 Sassuolo vs Carrarese 2-0
Apr 25 Sassuolo vs Cosenza 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Inter in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 04, 2024 Sassuolo 1 - 0 Inter Serie A
May 04, 2024 Sassuolo 1 - 0 Inter Pro League
Final Verdict

ELITE: Inter to win (92% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 92% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Inter Power 50
Sassuolo Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Inter Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Sassuolo Position

Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.