AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Sep 21, 2025

Fiorentina

Home
VS
16:00

Como

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Fiorentina Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Como Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.50 - 1.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fiorentina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Fiorentina Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Fiorentina vs Napoli 1-3
Aug 31 Fiorentina vs Torino 0-0
Aug 28 Fiorentina vs Polessya 3-2
Aug 24 Fiorentina vs Cagliari 1-1
Aug 21 Fiorentina vs Polessya 0-3
Aug 09 Fiorentina vs Mancheste… 1-1
Aug 05 Fiorentina vs Nottingha… 0-0
May 25 Fiorentina vs Udinese 2-3
May 18 Fiorentina vs Bologna 3-2
May 12 Fiorentina vs Venezia 2-1
Como Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Como vs Genoa 1-1
Sep 04 Como vs Mali 3-0
Aug 30 Como vs Bologna 1-0
Aug 24 Como vs Lazio 2-0
Aug 16 Como vs Sudtirol 3-1
Aug 10 Como vs FC Barcel… 5-0
Aug 06 Como vs Real Betis 2-3
Jun 09 Como vs Kosovo Na… 4-2
Jun 06 Como vs Zambia 0-1
May 23 Como vs Inter 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2025 Fiorentina 0 - 2 Como Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina Serie A
Nov 24, 2024 Como 0 - 2 Fiorentina Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fiorentina Power 44
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Fiorentina Position

-12

Position Gap

6

Como Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.