AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Oct 19, 2025

Lorient

Home
VS
15:15

Stade Brestois 29

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Lorient Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Stade Brestois 29 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 4.50 - 1.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lorient Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Stade Brestois 29 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Lorient Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Lorient vs Paris FC 2-0
Sep 27 Lorient vs Monaco 3-1
Sep 21 Lorient vs LE Havre … 1-1
Sep 12 Lorient vs Marseille 4-0
Aug 30 Lorient vs Lille 1-7
Aug 24 Lorient vs Rennes FC 4-0
Aug 17 Lorient vs Auxerre 1-0
Aug 09 Lorient vs Angers 1-0
May 10 Lorient vs Martigues 5-1
May 10 Lorient vs Martigues 5-1
Stade Brestois 29 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Stade Bre… vs Nantes 0-0
Sep 28 Stade Bre… vs Angers 0-2
Sep 20 Stade Bre… vs Nice 4-1
Sep 14 Stade Bre… vs Paris FC 1-2
Aug 29 Stade Bre… vs Lens 3-1
Aug 24 Stade Bre… vs Toulouse 2-0
Aug 17 Stade Bre… vs Lille 3-3
Aug 09 Stade Bre… vs Sassuolo 1-1
Jul 18 Stade Bre… vs Rennes FC 2-3
May 17 Stade Bre… vs Nice 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lorient struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2024 Lorient 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 Friendlies Clu…
Mar 31, 2024 Lorient 0 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1
Dec 20, 2023 Stade Brestois 29 4 - 0 Lorient Ligue 1
May 07, 2023 Lorient 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1
Oct 09, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Lorient Ligue 1
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Jul 16, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Lorient Friendlies Clu…
Feb 27, 2022 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Lorient Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lorient Power 33
Stade Brestois 29 Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Lorient Position

+3

Position Gap

12

Stade Brestois 29 Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.