AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Oct 17, 2025
Paris Saint Germain
HomeVS
18:45
Strasbourg
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Paris Saint Germain Win
Draw
Strasbourg Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 3.32 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.5
Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Paris Saint Germain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
Paris Saint Germain Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Lille | 1-1 |
| Oct 01 | Paris Saiā¦ vs FC Barcelā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Auxerre | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Marseille | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Lens | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Toulouse | 3-6 |
| Aug 22 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Angers | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Nantes | 0-1 |
| Aug 13 | Paris Saiā¦ vs Tottenham | 2-2 |
Strasbourg Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 05 | Strasbourg vs Angers | 5-0 |
| Oct 02 | Strasbourg vs Slovan Brā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 26 | Strasbourg vs Marseille | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Strasbourg vs Paris FC | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | Strasbourg vs LE Havre ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Strasbourg vs Monaco | 3-2 |
| Aug 28 | Strasbourg vs Brondby | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | Strasbourg vs Nantes | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | Strasbourg vs Brondby | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Strasbourg vs Metz | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Strasbourg in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2025 | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 - 2 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Strasbourg | 1 - 2 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 - 0 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| May 27, 2023 | Strasbourg | 1 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 28, 2022 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 1 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Strasbourg | 3 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 - 2 | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Strasbourg | 1 - 4 | Paris Saint Germain | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
PRO: Paris Saint Germain to win (71% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Paris Saint Germain Power
49
Strasbourg Power
39
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Paris Saint Germain Position+6
Position Gap7
Strasbourg Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.