AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Sep 14, 2025

Strasbourg

Home
VS
15:15

LE Havre AC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Strasbourg Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
LE Havre AC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.42 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.8 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
LE Havre AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Strasbourg Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Strasbourg vs Monaco 3-2
Aug 28 Strasbourg vs Brondby 2-3
Aug 24 Strasbourg vs Nantes 1-0
Aug 21 Strasbourg vs Brondby 0-0
Aug 17 Strasbourg vs Metz 0-1
Aug 09 Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz… 0-0
May 17 Strasbourg vs LE Havre … 2-3
May 10 Strasbourg vs Angers 2-1
May 03 Strasbourg vs Paris FC 2-1
May 03 Strasbourg vs Paris Sai… 2-1
LE Havre AC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 LE Havre … vs Nice 3-1
Aug 24 LE Havre … vs Lens 1-2
Aug 16 LE Havre … vs Monaco 3-1
Aug 09 LE Havre … vs Deportivo… 2-0
Aug 02 LE Havre … vs Paris FC 1-1
May 17 LE Havre … vs Strasbourg 2-3
May 10 LE Havre … vs Marseille 1-3
May 04 LE Havre … vs Auxerre 1-2
Apr 26 LE Havre … vs Monaco 1-1
Apr 19 LE Havre … vs Paris FC 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Strasbourg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • LE Havre AC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Strasbourg 2 - 3 LE Havre AC Ligue 1
Dec 15, 2024 LE Havre AC 0 - 3 Strasbourg Pro League
May 04, 2024 LE Havre AC 3 - 1 Strasbourg Pro League
May 04, 2024 LE Havre AC 3 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Feb 07, 2024 Strasbourg 3 - 1 LE Havre AC Coupe de France
Dec 10, 2023 Strasbourg 2 - 1 LE Havre AC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Strasbourg to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Strasbourg Power 39
LE Havre AC Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Strasbourg Position

+8

Position Gap

15

LE Havre AC Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.