AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 31, 2025

Monaco

Home
VS
15:15

Strasbourg

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Monaco Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Strasbourg Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.70 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Monaco Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Monaco vs Lille 1-0
Aug 16 Monaco vs LE Havre … 3-1
Aug 08 Monaco vs Inter 1-2
May 17 Monaco vs Lens 4-0
May 10 Monaco vs Lyon 2-0
May 03 Monaco vs St Etienne 1-3
Apr 26 Monaco vs LE Havre … 1-1
Apr 19 Monaco vs Strasbourg 0-0
Apr 12 Monaco vs Marseille 3-0
Apr 05 Monaco vs Brest 2-1
Strasbourg Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Strasbourg vs Brondby 2-3
Aug 24 Strasbourg vs Nantes 1-0
Aug 21 Strasbourg vs Brondby 0-0
Aug 17 Strasbourg vs Metz 0-1
Aug 09 Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz… 0-0
May 17 Strasbourg vs LE Havre … 2-3
May 10 Strasbourg vs Angers 2-1
May 03 Strasbourg vs Paris FC 2-1
May 03 Strasbourg vs Paris Sai… 2-1
Apr 26 Strasbourg vs St Etienne 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Strasbourg in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Monaco struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Monaco 0 - 0 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Nov 09, 2024 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Monaco Ligue 1
Nov 09, 2024 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Monaco Pro League
Mar 10, 2024 Strasbourg 0 - 1 Monaco Ligue 1
Mar 10, 2024 Strasbourg 0 - 1 Monaco Pro League
Aug 20, 2023 Monaco 3 - 0 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Apr 02, 2023 Monaco 4 - 3 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Aug 06, 2022 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Monaco Ligue 1
Mar 13, 2022 Strasbourg 1 - 0 Monaco Ligue 1
Nov 28, 2021 Monaco 1 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monaco Power 34
Strasbourg Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Monaco Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Strasbourg Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.