AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 15, 2025

Rennes FC

Home
VS
18:45

Marseille

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Rennes FC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Marseille Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 3.02 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.1
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rennes FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Marseille Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Rennes FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Rennes FC vs Genoa 2-2
Jul 18 Rennes FC vs Stade Bre… 2-3
May 17 Rennes FC vs Marseille 4-2
May 10 Rennes FC vs Nice 2-0
May 03 Rennes FC vs Toulouse 2-1
Apr 26 Rennes FC vs Lyon 4-1
Apr 18 Rennes FC vs Nantes 2-1
Apr 13 Rennes FC vs LE Havre … 1-5
Apr 06 Rennes FC vs Auxerre 0-1
Mar 30 Rennes FC vs Angers 0-3
Marseille Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Marseille vs Aston Vil… 3-1
May 17 Marseille vs Rennes FC 4-2
May 10 Marseille vs LE Havre … 1-3
May 04 Marseille vs Lille 1-1
Apr 27 Marseille vs Brest 4-1
Apr 27 Marseille vs Stade Bre… 4-1
Apr 19 Marseille vs Montpelli… 5-1
Apr 12 Marseille vs Monaco 3-0
Apr 06 Marseille vs Toulouse 3-2
Mar 29 Marseille vs Reims 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marseille in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Rennes FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Marseille 4 - 2 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2025 Rennes FC 1 - 2 Marseille Ligue 1
Mar 17, 2024 Rennes FC 2 - 0 Marseille Pro League
Mar 17, 2024 Rennes FC 2 - 0 Marseille Ligue 1
Jan 21, 2024 Rennes FC 1 - 1 Marseille Coupe de France
Dec 03, 2023 Marseille 2 - 0 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Dec 03, 2023 Marseille 2 - 0 Rennes FC Pro League
Mar 05, 2023 Rennes FC 0 - 1 Marseille Ligue 1
Jan 20, 2023 Marseille 1 - 0 Rennes FC Coupe de France
Sep 18, 2022 Marseille 1 - 1 Rennes FC Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rennes FC Power 34
Marseille Power 48
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rennes FC Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Marseille Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.