AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Esiliiga B Jul 12, 2025

Paide II

Home
VS
12:00

Johvi Phoenix

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Paide II Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Johvi Phoenix Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.48 - 1.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paide II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Johvi Phoenix Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Paide II Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 Paide II vs Kuressaar… 4-0
Jul 02 Paide II vs JK Tabasa… 0-2
Jun 29 Paide II vs Läänemaa … 3-0
Jun 19 Paide II vs Legion 2-2
Jun 14 Paide II vs Narva U21 3-0
Jun 01 Paide II vs Tartu Kal… 2-3
May 29 Paide II vs Maardu 3-0
May 25 Paide II vs JK Tabasa… 1-0
May 18 Paide II vs Johvi Pho… 3-3
May 12 Paide II vs Nõmme Uni… 3-2
Johvi Phoenix Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Johvi Pho… vs Narva U21 3-4
Jun 22 Johvi Pho… vs Kuressaar… 1-4
Jun 19 Johvi Pho… vs Läänemaa … 1-4
Jun 01 Johvi Pho… vs Maardu 3-5
May 28 Johvi Pho… vs Nõmme Uni… 3-2
May 25 Johvi Pho… vs Legion 3-0
May 18 Johvi Pho… vs Paide II 3-3
May 10 Johvi Pho… vs JK Tabasa… 2-2
May 03 Johvi Pho… vs Tartu Kal… 2-0
Apr 26 Johvi Pho… vs Nõmme Uni… 5-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Johvi Phoenix in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2025 Johvi Phoenix 3 - 3 Paide II Esiliiga B
Mar 01, 2025 Johvi Phoenix 3 - 1 Paide II Esiliiga B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paide II to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paide II Power 0
Johvi Phoenix Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.