AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Lig Sep 28, 2025

Ankaragücü

Home
VS
16:00

Altınordu

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ankaragücü Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Altınordu Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.83 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ankaragücü Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Altınordu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Ankaragücü Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Ankaragücü vs Halide Ed… 1-2
Sep 07 Ankaragücü vs Elazığspor 1-4
Sep 03 Ankaragücü vs Karabük İ… 2-3
Aug 30 Ankaragücü vs Adana 195… 1-0
Aug 23 Ankaragücü vs 24 Erzinc… 1-1
May 10 Ankaragücü vs Amed 2-0
May 04 Ankaragücü vs Keçiöreng… 2-3
Apr 27 Ankaragücü vs Yeni Çoru… 1-0
Apr 18 Ankaragücü vs Manisa FK 2-1
Apr 13 Ankaragücü vs Boluspor 2-2
Altınordu Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Altınordu vs Elazığspor 1-2
Sep 17 Altınordu vs Kütahyasp… 3-1
Sep 13 Altınordu vs Adana 195… 0-0
Sep 07 Altınordu vs 24 Erzinc… 0-1
Aug 30 Altınordu vs 24 Erzinc… 4-0
Aug 23 Altınordu vs Erokspor 1-1
May 26 Altınordu vs Batman Pe… 1-1
May 22 Altınordu vs Batman Pe… 0-1
May 16 Altınordu vs Kastamonu… 0-0
May 12 Altınordu vs Kastamonu… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ankaragücü struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Altınordu struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ankaragücü to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ankaragücü Power 0
Altınordu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Ankaragücü Position

+10

Position Gap

18

Altınordu Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.