AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Nov 25, 2025

Gor Mahia

Home
VS
13:00

APS Bomet

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Gor Mahia Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
APS Bomet Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 90%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.03 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
APS Bomet Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Gor Mahia Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 1-0
Nov 09 Gor Mahia vs Police 0-2
Nov 02 Gor Mahia vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
Oct 30 Gor Mahia vs Mathare U… 0-2
Oct 26 Gor Mahia vs Posta Ran… 3-0
Oct 05 Gor Mahia vs KCB 0-1
Sep 27 Gor Mahia vs Sofapaka 0-2
Sep 21 Gor Mahia vs Bidco Uni… 0-1
Jun 29 Gor Mahia vs Nairobi U… 1-2
Jun 22 Gor Mahia vs Police 1-1
APS Bomet Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 APS Bomet vs Ulinzi St… 0-1
Nov 09 APS Bomet vs Mathare U… 1-1
Nov 02 APS Bomet vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
Oct 29 APS Bomet vs Homeboyz 1-2
Oct 25 APS Bomet vs Kariobang… 1-2
Oct 05 APS Bomet vs Police 0-1
Sep 28 APS Bomet vs Murang'a … 0-2
Sep 21 APS Bomet vs Shabana 4-2
Mar 16 APS Bomet vs Nairobi U… 0-0
Nov 17 APS Bomet vs Nairobi U… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gor Mahia in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

PRO: Gor Mahia to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gor Mahia Power 0
APS Bomet Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Gor Mahia Position

+13

Position Gap

14

APS Bomet Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.