AI Match Insights

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FKF Premier League Oct 15, 2025

Murang'a SEAL

Home
VS
12:00

Sofapaka

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Murang'a SEAL Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sofapaka Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 48%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.75 - 1.05
Key Insights
Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Sofapaka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (17%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Murang'a SEAL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Murang'a … vs Bandari 3-1
Sep 28 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 0-2
Sep 21 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 0-1
Jun 29 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 1-0
Jun 15 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 0-0
May 25 Murang'a … vs Gor Mahia 2-2
May 18 Murang'a … vs Gor Mahia 0-0
May 01 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 3-2
Apr 06 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 1-1
Mar 15 Murang'a … vs Police 3-1
Sofapaka Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Sofapaka vs Homeboyz 0-1
Sep 27 Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia 0-2
Sep 20 Sofapaka vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Jun 22 Sofapaka vs Bidco Uni… 1-2
Jun 15 Sofapaka vs Posta Ran… 1-2
May 18 Sofapaka vs Tusker 7-1
May 10 Sofapaka vs Kariobang… 0-0
May 02 Sofapaka vs Mathare U… 1-1
Apr 19 Sofapaka vs Gor Mahia 1-1
Apr 04 Sofapaka vs Ulinzi St… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sofapaka struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Murang'a SEAL to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Sofapaka Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Murang'a SEAL Position

+14

Position Gap

18

Sofapaka Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.