AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Oct 15, 2025

Shabana

Home
VS
11:00

Posta Rangers FC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Shabana Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Posta Rangers FC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.95 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.5 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shabana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Posta Rangers FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Shabana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Shabana vs Tusker 1-1
Sep 28 Shabana vs Bandari 0-1
Sep 21 Shabana vs APS Bomet 4-2
Jun 22 Shabana vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
May 18 Shabana vs Mara Sugar 0-1
May 14 Shabana vs Bidco Uni… 2-1
May 09 Shabana vs KCB 0-1
May 04 Shabana vs Gor Mahia 0-1
Apr 13 Shabana vs Homeboyz 1-0
Apr 06 Shabana vs Bandari 3-1
Posta Rangers FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Posta Ran… vs AFC Leopa… 2-2
Sep 27 Posta Ran… vs Tusker 2-1
Sep 22 Posta Ran… vs Mathare U… 1-2
Jun 22 Posta Ran… vs Bandari 1-1
Jun 15 Posta Ran… vs Sofapaka 1-2
May 14 Posta Ran… vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
May 05 Posta Ran… vs Homeboyz 2-0
Apr 05 Posta Ran… vs Mathare U… 3-2
Mar 14 Posta Ran… vs Tusker 2-1
Mar 01 Posta Ran… vs KCB 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 09, 2025 Posta Rangers FC 2 - 1 Shabana FKF Premier Le…
Dec 04, 2024 Shabana 1 - 1 Posta Rangers FC FKF Premier Le…
Apr 06, 2024 Shabana 3 - 0 Posta Rangers FC FKF Premier Le…
Nov 25, 2023 Posta Rangers FC 3 - 1 Shabana FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shabana to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shabana Power 0
Posta Rangers FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Shabana Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Posta Rangers FC Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.