AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Oct 01, 2025

Mara Sugar

Home
VS
11:00

Nairobi United

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Mara Sugar Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Nairobi United Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.50 - 0.22
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Nairobi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (49%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 8%
Over 2.5 Goals 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 96%
Mara Sugar Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Mara Sugar vs Homeboyz 0-0
Jun 29 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 1-0
Jun 22 Mara Sugar vs Kariobang… 4-1
Jun 15 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 0-0
May 25 Mara Sugar vs Police 1-1
May 18 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-1
Apr 27 Mara Sugar vs Gor Mahia 4-0
Apr 06 Mara Sugar vs Tusker 1-1
Mar 28 Mara Sugar vs Mathare U… 2-1
Feb 19 Mara Sugar vs Posta Ran… 1-1
Nairobi United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Nairobi U… vs NEC 1-1
Sep 20 Nairobi U… vs NEC 2-2
Jun 29 Nairobi U… vs Gor Mahia 1-2
May 01 Nairobi U… vs Homeboyz 2-0
Apr 12 Nairobi U… vs KCB 0-0
Mar 16 Nairobi U… vs APS Bomet 0-0
Mar 08 Nairobi U… vs Tusker 1-1
Nov 17 Nairobi U… vs APS Bomet 1-0
Jun 07 Nairobi U… vs Mathare U… 2-3
Nov 15 Nairobi U… vs Mathare U… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mara Sugar Power 0
Nairobi United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Mara Sugar Position

-3

Position Gap

10

Nairobi United Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.