AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Oct 01, 2025

Tusker

Home
VS
12:00

Mathare United

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Tusker Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Mathare United Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.75 - 0.49
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tusker Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Mathare United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (22%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Tusker Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Tusker vs Posta Ran… 2-1
Sep 19 Tusker vs KCB 0-2
May 18 Tusker vs Sofapaka 7-1
May 03 Tusker vs AFC Leopa… 0-0
Apr 27 Tusker vs Mathare U… 2-1
Apr 06 Tusker vs Mara Sugar 1-1
Mar 29 Tusker vs Bidco Uni… 0-1
Mar 14 Tusker vs Posta Ran… 2-1
Mar 08 Tusker vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Mar 02 Tusker vs Bandari 0-0
Mathare United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Mathare U… vs Migori Yo… 1-0
Sep 26 Mathare U… vs KCB 0-1
Sep 22 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 1-2
Sep 20 Mathare U… vs Nzoia Sug… 0-0
Jun 15 Mathare U… vs Bandari 0-0
May 17 Mathare U… vs Ulinzi St… 1-0
May 10 Mathare U… vs Homeboyz 0-1
May 02 Mathare U… vs Sofapaka 1-1
Apr 27 Mathare U… vs Tusker 2-1
Apr 20 Mathare U… vs Bidco Uni… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tusker struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 27, 2025 Mathare United 2 - 1 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Dec 07, 2024 Tusker 2 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Apr 12, 2023 Mathare United 0 - 2 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Feb 18, 2023 Tusker 2 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Dec 30, 2021 Tusker 4 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Jul 20, 2021 Mathare United 0 - 0 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Jan 31, 2021 Tusker 1 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tusker Power 0
Mathare United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Tusker Position

+4

Position Gap

12

Mathare United Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.