AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
I Liga Aug 02, 2025

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Home
VS
12:30

Miedź Legnica

Away
AI Predictions 51.5% Confidence
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Win
51.5%
Draw
23.7%
Miedź Legnica Win
24.8%
Home Win (52% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.68 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Miedź Legnica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Pogoń Gro… vs Puszcza N… 1-1
Jul 19 Pogoń Gro… vs Stal Rzes… 2-1
Jul 02 Pogoń Gro… vs Radomiak … 1-1
Jul 27 Pogoń Gro… vs Stal Rzes… 1-0
Miedź Legnica Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Miedź Leg… vs Odra Opole 2-1
Jul 19 Miedź Leg… vs Tychy 71 4-3
Jun 01 Miedź Leg… vs Wisla Plo… 2-0
May 29 Miedź Leg… vs Wisla Kra… 0-1
May 25 Miedź Leg… vs Wisla Plo… 2-1
May 19 Miedź Leg… vs Nieciecza 1-4
May 10 Miedź Leg… vs Pogoń Sie… 3-0
May 04 Miedź Leg… vs Odra Opole 2-1
Apr 27 Miedź Leg… vs Chrobry G… 1-1
Apr 10 Miedź Leg… vs Ruch Chor… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Miedź Legnica struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Power 0
Miedź Legnica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Miedź Legnica Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.