AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Oct 04, 2025

Magpies

Home
VS
14:30

Hound Dogs

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Magpies Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Hound Dogs Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.34 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.0 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Magpies Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Hound Dogs Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Magpies Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Magpies vs Glacis Un… 0-1
Sep 24 Magpies vs Lincoln R… 7-0
Sep 19 Magpies vs St Joseph… 0-2
Sep 12 Magpies vs Europa 1-2
Aug 31 Magpies vs Mons Calpe 0-0
Aug 23 Magpies vs Mancheste… 2-2
Jul 17 Magpies vs Paide 4-1
May 04 Magpies vs Europa 4-2
Apr 19 Magpies vs Mancheste… 0-2
Apr 11 Magpies vs St Joseph… 0-2
Hound Dogs Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Hound Dogs vs Mons Calpe 0-4
Sep 22 Hound Dogs vs Mancheste… 4-1
Sep 15 Hound Dogs vs College 1… 1-1
Aug 24 Hound Dogs vs Europa Po… 0-3
Aug 16 Hound Dogs vs Lions Gib… 1-1
Feb 15 Hound Dogs vs Magpies 17-0
Feb 05 Hound Dogs vs St Joseph… 9-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Magpies struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 15, 2025 Magpies 17 - 0 Hound Dogs Rock Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Magpies to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Magpies Power 0
Hound Dogs Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Magpies Position

+5

Position Gap

12

Hound Dogs Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.