AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Apr 27, 2025

Villarreal

Home
VS
15:00

Espanyol

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Villarreal Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Espanyol Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 0.45 - 1.63
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Villarreal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Espanyol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-2 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Villarreal Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Villarreal vs Celta 3-0
Apr 20 Villarreal vs Real Soci… 2-2
Apr 13 Villarreal vs Real Betis 1-2
Apr 06 Villarreal vs Ath Bilbao 0-0
Mar 30 Villarreal vs Getafe 1-2
Mar 15 Villarreal vs Real Madr… 1-2
Mar 08 Villarreal vs Alavés 1-0
Feb 22 Villarreal vs Valencia 0-1
Feb 15 Villarreal vs Valencia 1-1
Feb 08 Villarreal vs Las Palmas 1-2
Espanyol Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Espanyol vs Valencia 1-1
Apr 18 Espanyol vs Getafe 1-0
Apr 12 Espanyol vs Celta de … 0-2
Apr 12 Espanyol vs Celta 0-2
Apr 04 Espanyol vs Rayo Vall… 0-4
Apr 04 Espanyol vs Valencia 0-4
Mar 29 Espanyol vs Real Madr… 1-1
Mar 15 Espanyol vs Mallorca 2-1
Mar 10 Espanyol vs Girona 1-1
Feb 22 Espanyol vs Alavés 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Espanyol in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2024 Espanyol 1 - 2 Villarreal Pro League
Jan 20, 2024 Espanyol 2 - 1 Villarreal Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Villarreal Power 43
Espanyol Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Villarreal Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Espanyol Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.